Speculation is a big factor, no doubt.
As for demand, yes Americans will drive less. But they still have to drive. If you have a commute, you'll still have to drive. Yeah, some will do car pools, and even slugs and other transpo options.
The article I posted made note of a very big issue: declining production.
Oil production has declined since 2005.
Believe in peak oil theory or not, oil output/production has declined, and in addition to America's dependency on oil (number 1 oil consumer) China and India are using more and more oil, every year.
The days of cheap oil, are over.







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