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An uncertainty analysis of mcg dosing in liquid products

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  1. #1
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    An uncertainty analysis of mcg dosing in liquid products

    dosing for liquids is more accurate; especially for doses of less than 10mg

    I do not trust anything in mcg doses to be dosed accurately from anyone except a true pharmaceutical.

    1 mcg is 1/1000 of a mg. The best lab grade scales will measure down to .0001g or .1mg

    Let's run the uncertainty numbers:
    This $4000 lab scale here

    Has the following specs:
    Resolution: 0.1mg
    Range: 0-12000mg
    Linearity: 0.2mg
    Repeatability: 0.1mg

    We'll combine the elemental errors and the resolution error to give us the design stage uncertainty.

    Elemental errors are the linearity and the repeatability. Assuming a normal distribution we can use the RSS method to calculate this value:

    ux=±SQRT([e1^2]+[e2^2]+...+[ek^2])

    ux = uncertainty in measurement
    e1 = elemental error 1 (in our case the linearity)
    e2 = elemental error 2 (in our case the repeatability)
    ek = elemental error to integer k (only two sources of elemental errors)

    The resolution error in our case is zero-order for our purposes. This again is an ideal case as we assume that the variation expected in the measurand is much less than that of the variation in the instrument resolution.

    u0 = ±0.5*Resolution

    the design stage uncertainty we will call ud, and it will combine the two equations above using the RSS method:

    ud = SQRT([u0^2] + [ux^2])

    ud = (SQRT[(0.2mg^2)+(0.1mg^2)] + 0.5*(0.1mg))^(1/2)

    ud = 0.523mg or 0.5mg (significant figures)

    -or-

    ±523.1mcg uncertainty in your measurement with a $4000 scale. This is also a best case uncertainty calculation. Distributions are assumed to be perfectly gaussian, only two elemental errors are present, the scale is perfectly calibrated, your powder is 100% pure, the scale operator is not some numbskull meathead....


    An even bigger source of error will be present in the volume of liquids being measured out... Are they using a graduated cylinder? Measuring volumes by weight of the liquids and known densities? Calibrated pipettes?


    Using capping and filler powders requires some trituration (mortar and pestle grinding) to get your filler powder to the same consistency as the raw grade powder you wish to fill each cap with. Pressing techniques, powder fill density, variation in cap volume, consistency of your powder-filler mix all come into play when capping.

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    There is a work around for this uncertainty in measurement and that is to make large batches - the uncertainty is absorbed in the quantity.

    You desire to make clen at 200mcg/mL; You have a calibrated scale accurate to .001mg (the one listed above), a 1L graduated cylinder.

    Provided you can hold volumes in the graduated cylinder to ±4mL, you could potentially achieve very accurate results.

    1L of solution at 200mcg/mL calculations:

    0.2g's (200mcg*1000L = 0.2g's total) clen suspended in 1L of grain alcohol.

    Worst case overdosed:
    (0.2g + 0.0005231g) in 996mL solution = 201mcg/mL

    Worst case underdosed:
    (0.2g - 0.0005231g) in 1004mL solution = 199mcg/mL

    thats 200mcg ± 0.5%... provided your instrumentation is up to par, calibrated and you can hold your volumes tightly.

    I didn't mean to scare you guys in the first post On a small scale the uncertainty is huge, your processes can iron out the differences however

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