Is Your Job an Endangered Species?

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 35
  1. #1
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    min0 lee's Avatar


    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    The Bronx, NYC
    Age
    52
    Posts
    15,290

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    835207615


    Is Your Job an Endangered Species?

    Andy Kessler: Is Your Job an Endangered Species? - WSJ.com

    By ANDY KESSLER

    So where the heck are all the jobs? Eight-hundred billion in stimulus and $2 trillion in dollar-printing and all we got were a lousy 36,000 jobs last month. That's not even enough to absorb population growth.

    You can't blame the fact that 26 million Americans are unemployed or underemployed on lost housing jobs or globalization—those excuses are played out. To understand what's going on, you have to look behind the headlines. That 36,000 is a net number. The Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that in December some 4,184,000 workers (seasonally adjusted) were hired, and 4,162,000 were "separated" (i.e., laid off or quit). This turnover tells the story of our economy—especially if you focus on jobs lost as a clue to future job growth.

    With a heavy regulatory burden, payroll taxes and health-care costs, employing people is very expensive. In January, the Golden Gate Bridge announced that it will have zero toll takers next year: They've been replaced by wireless FastTrak payments and license-plate snapshots.

    Technology is eating jobs—and not just toll takers.

    Tellers, phone operators, stock brokers, stock traders: These jobs are nearly extinct. Since 2007, the New York Stock Exchange has eliminated 1,000 jobs. And when was the last time you spoke to a travel agent? Nearly all of them have been displaced by technology and the Web. Librarians can't find 36,000 results in 0.14 seconds, as Google can. And a snappily dressed postal worker can't instantly deliver a 140-character tweet from a plane at 36,000 feet.

    So which jobs will be destroyed next? Figure that out and you'll solve the puzzle of where new jobs will appear.

    Forget blue-collar and white- collar. There are two types of workers in our economy: creators and servers. Creators are the ones driving productivity—writing code, designing chips, creating drugs, running search engines. Servers, on the other hand, service these creators (and other servers) by building homes, providing food, offering legal advice, and working at the Department of Motor Vehicles. Many servers will be replaced by machines, by computers and by changes in how business operates. It's no coincidence that Google announced it plans to hire 6,000 workers in 2011.

    But even the label "servers" is too vague. So I've broken down the service economy further, as a guide to figure out the next set of unproductive jobs that will disappear. (Don't blame me if your job is listed here; technology spares no one, not even writers.)

    • Sloppers are those that move things—from one side of a store or factory to another. Amazon is displacing thousands of retail workers. DMV employees and so many other government workers move information from one side of a counter to another without adding any value. Such sloppers are easy to purge with clever code.

    • Sponges are those who earned their jobs by passing a test meant to limit supply. According to this newspaper, 23% of U.S. workers now need a state license. The Series 7 exam is required for stock brokers. Cosmetologists, real estate brokers, doctors and lawyers all need government certification. All this does is legally bar others from doing the same job, so existing workers can charge more and sponge off the rest of us.

    But eDiscovery is the hottest thing right now in corporate legal departments. The software scans documents and looks for important keywords and phrases, displacing lawyers and paralegals who charge hundreds of dollars per hour to read the often millions of litigation documents. Lawyers, understandably, hate eDiscovery.

    Doctors are under fire as well, from computer imaging that looks inside of us and from Computer Aided Diagnosis, which looks for patterns in X-rays to identify breast cancer and other diseases more cheaply and effectively than radiologists do. Other than barbers, no sponges are safe.

    • Supersloppers mark up prices based on some marketing or branding gimmick, not true economic value. That Rolex Oyster Perpetual Submariner Two-Tone Date for $9,200 doesn't tell time as well as the free clock on my iPhone, but supersloppers will convince you to buy it. Markups don't generate wealth, except for those marking up. These products and services provide a huge price umbrella for something better to sell under.

    • Slimers are those that work in finance and on Wall Street. They provide the grease that lubricates the gears of the economy. Financial firms provide access to capital, shielding companies from the volatility of the stock and bond and derivative markets. For that, they charge hefty fees. But electronic trading has cut into their profits, and corporations are negotiating lower fees for mergers and financings. Wall Street will always exist, but with many fewer workers.

    • Thieves have a government mandate to make good money and a franchise that could disappear with the stroke of a pen. You know many of them: phone companies, cable operators and cellular companies are the obvious ones. But there are more annoying ones—asbestos testing and removal, plus all the regulatory inspectors who don't add value beyond making sure everyone pays them. Technologies like Skype have picked off phone companies by lowering international rates. And consumers are cutting expensive cable TV services in favor of Web-streamed video.

    Like it or not, we are at the beginning of a decades-long trend. Beyond the demise of toll takers and stock traders, watch enrollment dwindle in law schools and medical schools. Watch the divergence in stock performance between companies that actually create and those that are in transition—just look at Apple, Netflix and Google over the last five years as compared to retailers and media.

    But be warned that this economy is incredibly dynamic, and there is no quick fix for job creation when so much technology-driven job destruction is taking place. Fortunately, history shows that labor-saving machines haven't decreased overall employment even when they have made certain jobs obsolete. Ultimately the economic growth created by new jobs always overwhelms the drag from jobs destroyed—if policy makers let it happen.

  2. #2
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    ihateschoolmt's Avatar


    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    North Carolina
    Age
    27
    Posts
    5,630

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    0
    Thanked in
    0 Posts
    Rep Points
    138111922


    I fix/build computers I think I'll be OK.

  3. #3
    Amateur Gynecologist
    ELITE MEMBER
    vortrit's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    Show Me State
    Posts
    11,184

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    959126246


    I'm an electrician, so as long as people feel the need to use electricity I am not going to worry about it.
    DRSE Reconnaissance


  4. #4
    Bohemian Extraordinaire
    ELITE MEMBER
    maniclion's Avatar


    Join Date
    Aug 2003
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    Mēns Incognita
    Age
    39
    Posts
    27,178

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    0
    Thanked in
    0 Posts
    Rep Points
    1048643182


    Someday the sun is going to burn out, that day will spell the end for Photovoltaics and eventually wind energy.....but who of us is going to stick around for that?
    Coarse edged youth, the irish pendants string from their smiles
    not yet plucked as to slacken the seams
    and drag down the features of age,
    no folds or creases from unkempt wear
    eyes of tranquilty, crystalline-beads
    no sign of despair in their hair, nor their hearts
    but oh they have yet to be experienced and that makes aging so very worth it...ML circa2012

  5. #5
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    min0 lee's Avatar


    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    The Bronx, NYC
    Age
    52
    Posts
    15,290

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    835207615


    Quote Originally Posted by ihateschoolmt View Post
    I fix/build computers I think I'll be OK.
    Learn from other industries, at Motorola we had real techs who actually knew electronics....they knew how to read a schematic, change diodes and resisters and knew when a mosfet was bad...but then technology advanced and all you had to do was to take out a board swap it and or send it to a plantation in Florida to repair.

    They got rid of the old school techs....

  6. #6
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    min0 lee's Avatar


    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    The Bronx, NYC
    Age
    52
    Posts
    15,290

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    835207615


    Quote Originally Posted by vortrit View Post
    I'm an electrician, so as long as people feel the need to use electricity I am not going to worry about it.
    You're safe for a long time unless the politicians have their way and any Mexican can wire your house.

  7. #7
    Amateur Gynecologist
    ELITE MEMBER
    vortrit's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    Show Me State
    Posts
    11,184

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    959126246


    Quote Originally Posted by min0 lee View Post
    You're safe for a long time unless the politicians have their way and any Mexican can wire your house.
    They already can in Missouri. You don't have to have a license here in most cities, so I don't think it makes a difference.
    DRSE Reconnaissance


  8. #8
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    min0 lee's Avatar


    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    The Bronx, NYC
    Age
    52
    Posts
    15,290

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    835207615


    I would not trust an unlicensed electrician with my house.

  9. #9
    Board Rep
    BOARD REP
    irish_2003's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    on the boards
    Posts
    5,243

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1
    Thanked in
    1 Post
    Rep Points
    328825776


    this is why i'm going to school in the medical field......the last 3 years working only as a temp and not getting hired in anywhere changes your views quickly

  10. #10
    Amateur Gynecologist
    ELITE MEMBER
    vortrit's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    Show Me State
    Posts
    11,184

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    959126246


    Quote Originally Posted by min0 lee View Post
    I would not trust an unlicensed electrician with my house.
    I have one anyway and a two-year degree in Electricity. You still don't need one here, but most people ask.
    DRSE Reconnaissance


  11. #11
    Amateur Gynecologist
    ELITE MEMBER
    vortrit's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    Show Me State
    Posts
    11,184

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    3
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    959126246


    Quote Originally Posted by irish_2003 View Post
    this is why i'm going to school in the medical field......the last 3 years working only as a temp and not getting hired in anywhere changes your views quickly
    The medical field is great. If I didn't already get started on a career path I would be going into the medical field for sure.
    DRSE Reconnaissance


  12. #12
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    ihateschoolmt's Avatar


    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Gender
    Male
    Location
    North Carolina
    Age
    27
    Posts
    5,630

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    0
    Thanked in
    0 Posts
    Rep Points
    138111922


    Quote Originally Posted by min0 lee View Post
    Learn from other industries, at Motorola we had real techs who actually knew electronics....they knew how to read a schematic, change diodes and resisters and knew when a mosfet was bad...but then technology advanced and all you had to do was to take out a board swap it and or send it to a plantation in Florida to repair.

    They got rid of the old school techs....
    Honestly if everyone got smart and switched to Linux operating systems there would be no more virus's and that would take a good portion of work from people like me. but I don't think that will be a problem for a while.

  13. #13
    Metrosexual
    DOMS's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    In a van, down by the river...
    Age
    44
    Posts
    32,605

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    0
    Thanked in
    0 Posts
    Rep Points
    1863073860


    Quote Originally Posted by ihateschoolmt View Post
    Honestly if everyone got smart and switched to Linux operating systems there would be no more virus's and that would take a good portion of work from people like me. but I don't think that will be a problem for a while.
    A man who knows his stuff. I've done support for many companies on my OSes. The Linux using companies only ever needed me to setup new PCs or fix broken hardware.

    I'm been on Ubuntu at home for about 5 years. I'm not going back to Windows.

  14. #14
    Senior Member
    ELITE MEMBER
    min0 lee's Avatar


    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    The Bronx, NYC
    Age
    52
    Posts
    15,290

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    5
    Thanked in
    3 Posts
    Rep Points
    835207615


    Quote Originally Posted by ihateschoolmt View Post
    Honestly if everyone got smart and switched to Linux operating systems there would be no more virus's and that would take a good portion of work from people like me. but I don't think that will be a problem for a while.
    How long is that you think?
    Are you good for 5, 10 or 20 years down the line.
    Starting over at 40 is not easy, find something now that you can retire on.

  15. #15
    Metrosexual
    DOMS's Avatar


    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    In a van, down by the river...
    Age
    44
    Posts
    32,605

    Thanks Thanks Given 
    0
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    0
    Thanked in
    0 Posts
    Rep Points
    1863073860


    Quote Originally Posted by min0 lee View Post
    How long is that you think?
    Are you good for 5, 10 or 20 years down the line.
    Starting over at 40 is not easy, find something now that you can retire on.
    Nature had made it clear for millions of years: If you're an inflexible animal, you won't make it.

Similar Threads

  1. Species Nutrition Update
    By Prince in forum Muscle Central
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-27-2011, 12:57 PM
  2. What’s next for Species Nutrition?
    By Prince in forum Supplements
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 05-13-2010, 09:10 AM
  3. Replies: 13
    Last Post: 04-28-2010, 09:51 AM
  4. The Endangered Pinata
    By PreMier in forum Anything Goes
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 03-04-2004, 06:11 AM
  5. W8 says....single-species PP
    By Pepper in forum Supplements
    Replies: 8
    Last Post: 02-10-2003, 02:50 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Copyright© 2001-2017 IronMag® Bodybuilding Forums