The Americans will start a partial troop withdrawal near the ELECTIONS.
Regardless of how long the Americans are in Iraq, American oil companies cannot start extracting oil until the country settles down - if it settles down.
A single nation-state of Iraq may not happen.
1. The Kurds WILL separate at the appropriate time, and have been planning it very quietly for some time. The Kurds have the resources, organization, economy and they - oil. They speak Kurdish and not Arabic and don't like arabs.
2. Shiites and Sunnis:
The lastest attack on the temple of Samurra underlines the sectarian divide, and there have been massive retaliations of Sunni vs. Shiite, and vice-versa for the last two years.
Don't count on U.S. oil companies and many more contractors going in soon.
Regardless of how long the Americans are in Iraq, American oil companies cannot start extracting oil until the country settles down - if it settles down.
A single nation-state of Iraq may not happen.
1. The Kurds WILL separate at the appropriate time, and have been planning it very quietly for some time. The Kurds have the resources, organization, economy and they - oil. They speak Kurdish and not Arabic and don't like arabs.
2. Shiites and Sunnis:
The lastest attack on the temple of Samurra underlines the sectarian divide, and there have been massive retaliations of Sunni vs. Shiite, and vice-versa for the last two years.
Don't count on U.S. oil companies and many more contractors going in soon.