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Greatest Depression Ever Prediction - Celente

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% of national debt to GDP, the real unemployment rate, Europe, and exporting jobs.

Not negative, just painting the current picture.

And folks: things are bad now, and they are going to get worse in 2010.

YouTube Video
 
YouTube Video


Cause I'm wasted and can't find my way home....
 
This is from the Atlantic, and their articles tend to be lengthy, so here is a brief snippet.

To browse or skim the article, click the link at bottom.

The Great Recession may be over, but this era of high joblessness is probably just beginning. Before it ends, it will likely change the life course and character of a generation of young adults. It will leave an indelible imprint on many blue-collar men. It could cripple marriage as an institution in many communities. It may already be plunging many inner cities into a despair not seen for decades. Ultimately, it is likely to warp our politics, our culture, and the character of our society for years to come.


by Don Peck
Atlantic, March 2010

How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Link & Entire:
How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America - The Atlantic (March 2010)
 
This video sums up a lot of articles in 2 minutes. Data for 2010, from a guy in the know.

YouTube Video
 
I foresee a renaissance of the entertaining arts. Small bands and local performing arts houses will see a huge increase as people look for an escape. Artists will have to start actually having talent as competition will be heavy, this will be akin to vaudeville and the depression era greats, Jazz like music will become popular, not exactly jazz but free-form jamming. Local art communities will make films to show in theaters that can't afford to pay big money for a dozen Hollywood shows each night. This is my optimistic approach to the subject......

I just stumbled back onto the front page of this thread and saw that I posted that and then this Celente cat pretty much said the same thing in that 2010 Predictions video.....Maybe I should sell my skills to CNN....
 
terrible analysis IMHO....you can't draw a correlative average from 2 points. You need an "N=32" at a minimum to have a proper data pool.

I could pull tons of market DJI examples of large drop offs followed by 50% corrections that don't result in a depression. besides, the context is totally different...COMPLETELY different.

During the great depression the FED (the controlling pricks that they are) actually contracted the money supply at a unprecedented rate which resulted in a massive recall of debts...Mr Morgan accelerated it even more after spreading some bank run PR and the rest is history.

In today's case, the FED is expanding the supply at an unprecedented rate. I'm not saying we aren't due for a depression, but not b/c of this guys predictive analysis.
 
Here's a piece on Brooksley Born. This woman is worth knowing.

Greenspan, Rubin, and Stiglitz. Very interesting. Cannot be imbedded, so click the link if you want to watch it. Start off in the 80s up to now.

And how people that warned of cheap money and bubbles, were shut-down, and pushed aside.

Cannot embed as it's from PBS. Click link if you want to watch.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/warning/view/
 
Here is a brief segment on commercial real-estate in Manhattan.

Notice what he says at the 4:50.

YouTube Video
 
Soveereign debt default, bond market, Barton Biggs, and then an interview with the founder of Reaganomics, Paul Craig Roberts.

Touch times-are-comin'

YouTube Video
 
Here is the current video map of unemployment, updated to February 5, 2010.

Please click the link and watch. It takes less than 60 seconds.

multimediafinal
 
With over 70% of the US economy dependent upon consumer spending (and also lending).......


February 23, 2010

Underemployed Report Spending 36% Less Than Employed

Gallup's new daily metric estimates that 30 million U.S. workers were underemployed in January

by Jenny Marlar

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Gallup's daily measure of U.S. employment reveals that 19.9% of the U.S. workforce was underemployed during the month of January, translating to close to 30 million Americans who are working less than their desired capacity. Those who were underemployed reported spending 36% less than those who were employed, $48 per day versus $75 per day.

These results are based on January interviews with more than 20,000 adults in the U.S. workforce, aged 18 and older. Gallup classifies respondents as "employed" if they are employed full time or are employed part time but do not want to work full time. Gallup classifies respondents as "underemployed" if they are employed part time but want to work full time or are unemployed.

"The underemployed are less likely than the employed to say they are able to make a major purchase, such as a car or home repair, if needed."

As unemployment rates remain high, reduced spending by millions of underemployed Americans has obvious implications for economic recovery. Spending is, however, just one of many ways underemployment costs the U.S. and hurts its workforce. Gallup's employment measure also reveals further disparities between the employed and the underemployed on vital indicators such as attitudes toward money, access to healthcare, demographics, and well being.

Personal Finances

Underemployment is generally associated with a less-than-desired income, and Gallup data highlight the stark contrast in spending attitudes between the employed and the underemployed. Sixty percent of employed respondents feel good about the amount of money they have to spend, while only half as many (29%) of the underemployed report feeling good. Further, the underemployed are less likely than the employed to say they are able to make a major purchase, such as a car or home repair, if needed (25% vs. 58%, respectively).

Particularly noteworthy are the differences in the groups' reported ability to afford basic necessities. Slightly more than half (56%) of underemployed respondents say they have enough money to buy the things they need, compared to 84% of employed respondents.
Additionally, respondents who are underemployed are more likely to report that they did not have enough money for food, shelter, or healthcare at some time during the past 12 months.

Healthcare
Access to preventative care and health insurance also differ between the employed and the underemployed, illustrating the strain that high underemployment can place on the healthcare system. The underemployed are less likely than the employed to have health insurance (59% vs. 87%, respectively), to have had enough money for healthcare (63% vs. 85%), to have a personal doctor (63% vs. 81%) or to have visited a dentist in the last 12 months (57% vs. 72%).

Demographics

There are several important demographic differences between the employed and the underemployed. While numerous reports have highlighted men's struggles to find employment during the current economic downturn, Gallup data indicate that underemployment levels among women (21%) are similar to those among men (19%).
Adults aged 18 to 29 are almost twice as likely (31%) to be underemployed as 30- to 49-year olds (17%) and 50- to 65-year-olds (17%) are.

Underemployment declines with increasing education levels. While nearly 4 in 10 respondents (38%) with less than a high school diploma are underemployed, the figure drops to 12% among those with a four-year college degree and further to 10% for those with education beyond college.

Among racial and ethnic groups, blacks (27%) and Hispanics (29%) are most likely to be underemployed, while non-Hispanic whites (17%) are least likely.

Taken as a whole, the employment status of certain demographic groups is bleak. Gallup's data illustrate that full employment is not available to all U.S. workers, and opportunities for employment are in short supply for American youth and minorities.


Link & Entire: Underemployed Report Spending 36% Less Than Employed
 
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